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DISCLAIMER: Gallup Pakistan is not related to Gallup Inc. headquartered in Washington D.C. USA. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup Pakistan (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). We disclaim any responsibility for surveys pertaining to Pakistani public opinion except those carried out by Gallup Pakistan, the Pakistani affiliate of Gallup International Association. For details on Gallup International Association see website: www.gallup-international.com

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Tuesday, February 18, 2014

MIXED SIGNALS ON PERFORMANCE RATINGS OF NAWAZ GOVERNMENT: Gallup’s Annual Public Pulse Report 2014


Summary of Findings:

Popular opinion expressed in Gallup Pakistan’s Annual Public Pulse Report 2014 sends a mix of positive and negative messages to Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif. The positive message is that his Performance Ratings are a huge improvement over the PPP-Zardari led government a year ago, as there is an improvement of 59% points in the Rating of overall performance. On the other hand, the negative message is that the lingering disappointment with government performance, which has been characteristic of last many years, continues to drag on. Thus performance rating of Nawaz government on controlling inflation gets negative rating of 45%, controlling terrorism gets a negative rating of 30%; controlling corruption in government gets a negative rating of 31%. On all of these issues there is an improvement over the dismal ratings of the previous government in its last year, showing an improvement of 20% points on the subject of inflation; 31% points on control of terrorism and 36% points on control of corruption in government. But these improvements still fall short of pulling the Ratings from Red (Unfavourable Ratings exceed Favourable) to Green (Favourable Ratings overtake Unfavourable).


Commentary by Chairman Gallup Pakistan:

Commenting on the Performance Ratings of Nawaz government, Dr. Ijaz Gilani Chairman Gallup Pakistan says:

“We note a Decline in Despair about government performance to bring economic welfare and peace to the country.

But popular opinion is exercising a lot of caution before it switches from giving a Red Card to a Green Card on government performance. The government performance still gets a Red Card on controlling Inflation, Terrorism and Corruption in government. But the Red Card is not as dark as the one received by PPP led government a year ago. Despite Red Cards on specific issues, Nawaz government gets a Green Card (favourable views exceed unfavourable views) in overall running of the government, as 55% give a favourable and 40% give an unfavourable rating, giving a positive balance of 15% points. A year ago only 27% had given a favourable rating to the then PPP led government while 71% had given a negative rating, which gave it a negative balance of 44% points.”


Statistical Tables:
 Gallup Pakistan’s Ratings on
PERFORMANCE OF NAWAZ GOVERNMENT


Favourable
Unfavourable
Balance Net Ratings
Overall Running of the Government
55%
40%
+15%
On 3 Specific Issues:
Controlling Inflation
25%
70%
-45%
Controlling Terrorism
33%
63%
-30%
Controlling Corruption
32%
63%
-31%

Source: Gallup Annual Public Pulse Report, January 2014



IMPROVEMENT IN RATINGS OVER PPP-ZARDARI LED GOVERNMENT

Overall Running of the Government
+59%
Controlling Inflation
+20%
Controlling Terrorism
+31%
Controlling Corruption
+36%

Source: Gallup Annual Public Pulse Report, January 2014

Note:
Test of Significance: The statistical test (t-test) to compare two samples across time (in this case January 2013- January 2014) was applied. The purpose was to measure the statistical significance of change of ratings across years. In all of the four Ratings mentioned above, the change over previous year is statistically significant. All figures which fail to meet the test should be read with caution and are marked by an * sign.

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